国家钼资源战略储备规模优化研究

来源 :2018年第九届中国矿业科技大会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:ff927
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为保证钼资源健康可持续地供应,同时提升我国在国际钼资源市场的话语权和定价权.通过分析影响钼资源战略储备规模的各因素,划分了经济人口子系统、钼资源生产子系统以及钼资源需求子系统,利用灰色GM(1,N)对未来14年的钼资源价格、钼资源供给量、钼资源需求量进行了预测,并运用stata进行方程拟合方法,构建了我国钼资源战略储备规模系统动力学模型.结果表明:我国钼资源储备量总体来看呈先增多后减小的趋势,其峰值出现在2020年这2个时间点,我国钼资源战略储备最大规模为847.60万t.
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