金沙江水网对鲁甸地震的同震响应及其对永善地震的预测意义

来源 :中国地震学会第五届地震流体专业委员会成立暨2016年学术年会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:hzqingqingcao
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鲁甸地震产生的水位同震残留阶升的井为团2井,位于翼子坝断层上,而这次永善地震却没有发生在翼子坝断裂上,而是发生在未发生在千万贯井附近的峨边-金阳断裂的一条北西向分支断裂的延长线上。并且鲁甸地震时千万贯井的同震变化为脉冲状的陡升陡降型,并且震后恢复到震前水平。依此看来,不能简单地凭借震后效应时的水位残留阶升区,判断为未来发震的危险区。
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