【摘 要】
:
We discuss causal effect evaluation and causal network learning. First for the causal effect evaluation, we want to evaluate the causal effects of the cause
【机 构】
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PekingUniversity,Beijing,China
【出 处】
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The 24th International Workshop on Matrices and Statistics(第
论文部分内容阅读
We discuss causal effect evaluation and causal network learning. First for the causal effect evaluation, we want to evaluate the causal effects of the cause variables on the effect variables. Yule-Simpson paradox means that the association between two variables may be reversed by omitting a third variable, called a confounder. The identifiability of causal effects is discussed when some confounder is unobserved or missing not at random [2]. In medical studies and clinical trials, surrogates and biomarkers are often used to reduce costs or duration when measurement of a true endpoint may be expensive, inconvenient or infeasible in a practical length of time. We present the surrogate paradox that a treatment has a positive effect on the surrogate, and the surrogate has a positive effect on the endpoint, but the treatment may have a negative effect on the endpoint [1]. Many existing criteria of surrogates cannot avoid the surrogate paradox. We propose novel criteria to avoid the surrogate paradox [4, 6].
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