航空货运量预测是航空货运发展和决策的基础.将灰色系统理论和马尔可夫链相结合,提出了灰色-马尔可夫链预测航空货运量的预测方法,并且针对我国航空货运量的发展趋势进行了预测.理论分析与实践都表明,该方法不但预测结果可靠,而且能够对航空货运市场的发展趋势进行宏观把握,有利于决策者的经济决策行为. Air cargo forecasting is the basis for the development and decision-making of air cargo.With the combination of gray system theory and Markov chain, this paper proposes a forecast method of gray-Markov chain to forecast air cargo volume, and according to the development trend of air cargo volume in China The theoretical analysis and practice show that this method not only has a reliable prediction result but also can grasp the development trend of the air cargo market macroscopically and is good for the decision makers’ economic decision-making.