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产业结构的转型需要政府科技投入和金融支持。以第三产业产值比重和高技术产业产值比重作为衡量产业结构转型的两个指标,利用1995-2013年我国30个省区的面板数据,实证分析了地方财政支出、地方财政科技支出和银行信贷对产业结构转型的影响。结果表明,地方财政支出总体上不利于第三产业和高技术产业的发展,地方财政科技支出和银行信贷发展都有利于第三产业和高技术产业的发展。分区域回归显示,由于东、中、西部地区处于不同的产业结构发展阶段,地方财政支出和地方财政科技支出对产业结构转型的影响存在区域差异。在当前我国全面深化经济体制改革的背景下,应通过财政支出结构的优化和银行信贷资金的引导,来促进产业结构转型。
Transformation of industrial structure requires government investment in science and technology and financial support. Taking the proportion of the output value of the tertiary industry and the output value of the high-tech industry as two indicators to measure the transformation of the industrial structure, the author uses the panel data of 30 provinces and autonomous regions in our country from 1995 to 2013 to analyze the local fiscal expenditure, local financial expenditure on science and technology and bank credit Impact on Industrial Structure Transformation. The results show that local fiscal expenditures are not conducive to the development of tertiary industry and high-tech industries as a whole. The expenditure of local science and technology and bank credit are conducive to the development of tertiary industry and high-tech industries. Sub-regional regression shows that there are regional differences in the impact of local government spending on science and technology and local governments on the structural transformation of industries due to the different stages of industrial structure development in the eastern, central and western regions. Under the background of deepening the reform of the economic system in an all-round way, we should promote the industrial restructuring through the optimization of the fiscal expenditure structure and the guidance of bank credit funds.