中国区际碳排放差异与损益偏离现象分析

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依据产业发展,将中国划分为资源型地区和非资源型地区,运用公平性测度方法探讨区际碳排放的动态差异,发现碳排放与经济收益之间存在“收益在外,损害留存”损益偏离现象,揭示了损益偏离现象形成的主要原因;通过开发损益偏离系数测算工具,测度了资源型地区碳排放经济收益与生态损害间的偏离程度。结果表明:(1)与全国平均水平相比,资源型地区人均CO_2排放、碳排放强度较高,且远高于非资源型地区,而在同一个研究期内,资源型地区人均GDP较低,此结论揭示了碳排放与经济收益存在区际间偏离现象。(2)形成损益偏离现象的主要原因是,人均GDP分布差异的基础上叠加人均CO_2排放分布的差异性导致了碳排放引起的损益偏离现象;同时资源型地区内部存在的碳排放差异也导致了碳减排水平滞后,加剧了碳排放引起的损益偏离现象的程度。(3)资源型地区经济收益与生态损害系数比例维持在0.2左右,属于碳排放损益偏离严重程度,为资源型产业能否可持续发展敲响了警钟。因此,建议国家在分配碳排放权、制定生态补偿标准、划分碳减排责任等政策时,应充分考虑碳排放区域差异性。最根本的是实现资源型地区产业低碳转型,改善损益偏离现象。 Based on the industrial development, China is divided into resource-based regions and non-resource-based regions. The fairness measurement method is used to explore the dynamic differences in regional carbon emissions. It is found that there exists a relationship between carbon emissions and economic benefits Deviation phenomenon, revealing the main reason for the formation of the deviation from the profit and loss. Through the development of tools to measure the deviation from the profit and loss, the degree of deviation between the economic benefits of carbon emissions and the ecological damage in resource-based areas was measured. The results showed that: (1) Compared with the national average, the per capita CO 2 emissions and carbon emission intensity of resource-based areas were higher than those of non-resource-based areas. In the same research period, the per capita GDP of resource-oriented areas was lower , This conclusion reveals the discrepancy between the carbon emissions and economic benefits. (2) The main reason for the formation of the deviation of profit and loss is that the difference in distribution of per capita CO 2 emissions on the basis of the difference in per capita GDP distribution leads to the deviation of the profit and loss caused by carbon emissions; meanwhile, the differences in carbon emissions existing in resource-based areas also lead to The level of carbon emission reduction lags behind, aggravating the degree of carbon loss caused by the deviation from the phenomenon. (3) The proportion of economic income and ecological damage coefficient in resource-based areas is maintained at around 0.2, which is a serious deviation from the profit and loss of carbon emissions. It is a wake-up call for the sustainable development of resource-based industries. Therefore, it is suggested that when allocating carbon emission rights, formulating ecological compensation standards and allocating responsibilities for carbon emission reduction, the government should give full consideration to the regional differences in carbon emissions. The most fundamental is to achieve low-carbon industry transformation of resource-based industries, to improve the profit and loss deviations.
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