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1992年上海经济的持续回升,和由此诱发的种种外在事实,引起社会各界对上海经济增长格局的不同判断,分歧的焦点集中于两个方面:经济增长速度是否正常,经济增长是否已经进入稳定增长阶段。我们认为,自1992年经济效益滑坡受到有效控制后,上海经济增长进入了由过去的非常规增长向新型的市场体制下的常规增长转变的过渡阶段。根据结构变动对经济增长的传导周期,过渡阶段将持续大约三年,1992年是第一年,也是最为关键的一年,无论是存量结构的恢复与调整,还是增量扩张,都会以很大的力度影响经济增长及其形态转
The sustained economic recovery in Shanghai in 1992 and the various external facts caused by it have caused various judgments in various sectors of the community about the pattern of Shanghai’s economic growth. The disagreements have focused on two aspects: whether the rate of economic growth is normal and whether economic growth has entered Stable growth stage. We believe that since the economic downturn was effectively controlled in 1992, Shanghai’s economic growth has entered a transitional phase from a shift from the unconventional past growth to the conventional growth under the new market system. According to the structural cycle of economic growth cycle, the transitional phase will last about three years, 1992 is the first year is the most crucial year, both the stock structure recovery and adjustment, or incremental expansion, will be very large The intensity of the impact of economic growth and its transformation