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铁路作为我国重要的货物运输方式,其能耗状况及强度变化对发展节约型交通战略具有重大意义。本文基于我国多年交通统计的实证数据,运用引力模型对交通能耗进行多重线性回归分析,并对今后以上海为端点的铁路货运能耗进行预测。
As an important mode of freight transportation in our country, the change of energy consumption and its intensity is of great significance to the development of an economical transportation strategy. Based on the empirical data of China’s traffic statistics for many years, this paper uses the gravity model to conduct multiple linear regression analysis of traffic energy consumption and forecasts the future energy consumption of railway freight transportation based in Shanghai.