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从经济增长与能源环境的关系入手,构建了考虑不可再生能源和环境污染的内生经济增长模型,揭示了在能源和环境约束下的经济可持续发展的最优路径.结果表明:只靠能源的大量投入,随着能源瓶颈约束的到来,经济发展将不可持续;当有污染存在时最优均衡经济增长率要放缓;同时运用计量经济学中多变量的协整检验,建立经济增长、能源消费和二氧化碳排放的协整方程,定量分析了三者之间的关系.二氧化碳与经济增长之间存在负相关关系,能源消费与经济增长存在正相关关系.
Starting from the relationship between economic growth and energy environment, this paper constructs an endogenous economic growth model that considers non-renewable energy and environmental pollution and reveals the optimal path of sustainable economic development under the constraints of energy and environment.The results show that: With the arrival of energy bottleneck constraints, the economic development will be unsustainable. When the pollution exists, the optimal equilibrium economic growth rate should be slowed down. At the same time, with the cointegration test of multivariable in econometrics, we should establish the economic growth, Co-integration equation of energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions, quantitative analysis of the relationship between the three.Carbon dioxide and economic growth there is a negative correlation between the energy consumption and economic growth there is a positive correlation.