论文部分内容阅读
蒙提·霍尔悖论现在,让我们设想一下,你经过激励的竞争,一路过关斩将,现在站在《让我们做个交易》节目的主持人蒙提·霍尔身边,在你的身后有三扇门,而你知道,只有一扇门背后有大奖(假如说是一辆小汽车),另外两扇门背后是是两头羊。节目组要求你只能选择一扇门并带走那扇门背后的奖品。那么,你可能会开走一辆车,载着你正在现场的妻子开开心心的回家;当然,你也可能会牵走一头羊。现在,你心里想着的是什么呢?当然是打开一扇门,而那扇门背后恰好是一辆车。
Now, let’s imagine that you’ve been through the competitive competition, all the way, now standing next to Monty Hall, host of the “Let’s make a deal.” There are three behind you Do you know that there is a prize behind only one door (in the case of a car) and two sheep behind the other two? The show team asked you to choose only one door and take away the prize behind the door. Then, you may drive away a car carrying the wife you are happy to go home; of course, you may also take a sheep. Now, what is in your mind? Of course, a door is opened, and the door just happens to be a car.