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分析了国内外航天费用估算不确定性分析方法和研制经验不确定性的特性 ,通过运用马尔柯夫信源熵在刻划随机过程方面的优势 ,实现了航天型号研制经验不确定性的量化
Analyzes the uncertainty analysis methods of domestic and foreign aerospace cost estimation and the characteristics of development experience uncertainty. By using the advantages of Markov information source entropy in characterization of stochastic processes, the uncertainty in the development of aerospace model development experience is quantified.