种种迹象表明,一季度投资增长在本轮扩张期已经见顶并出现降温趋势,随着前期和近期宏观调控政策的加快落实以及政策效应的进一步发挥,下半年投资增长将会显著放慢。受此影响,本轮经济增长有可能在二季度达到峰值,三季度开始逐步减速,全年经济增长呈前高后低趋势。 There are indications that the investment growth in the first quarter has peaked in the current round of expansion and the trend of cooling down. With the acceleration and implementation of the macro-control policies of the previous and near-term and the further development of the policy effects, the investment growth in the second half of the year will slow significantly. Affected by this, the current round of economic growth is likely to peak in the second quarter, the third quarter began to slow down gradually, the annual economic growth is the trend of high before the low.