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普京主政8年,在经济领域所取得的成绩斐然,但遗憾的是,迄今为止,俄罗斯还没有走出自己的经济怪圈。俄罗斯10年来的经济轨迹呈现出这样一个经济怪圈:看似经济增长了、发展了,但经济质量、经济结构和国际竞争力却在踏步不前,又回到了原点。普京和梅德韦杰夫都清醒地认识到俄罗斯经济的这一现象和致命弱点,并制定了走出经济怪圈的战略方针:从依赖型经济转向创新型经济。俄罗斯走出经济怪圈的战略方向是正确的,但是路径选择却存在着严重问题。俄罗斯希望通过国家投入、市场保护和鼓励创新这样的路径,实现摆脱资源依赖型经济而转向创新型经济的目标是难以实现的。
Putin has been in power for eight years and has made remarkable achievements in the economic field. Unfortunately, so far, Russia has not yet out of its own economic cycle. The economic trajectory of Russia over the past 10 years shows such a vicious circle of economy: it seems that the economy has grown and has developed. However, economic quality, economic structure and international competitiveness have come to a halt and come back to the starting point. Both Putin and Medvedev are soberly aware of this phenomenon and the fatal weakness of the Russian economy and set out its strategic guideline of moving out of the economic cycle: from a dependent economy to an innovative one. Russia’s strategic direction out of the economic cycle is correct, but there are serious problems with the routing. Russia hopes to achieve its goal of moving away from a resource-dependent economy to an innovative economy through such paths as state investment, market protection and innovation encouragement.