论文部分内容阅读
城镇化是经济发展的重要驱动力,本文认为城镇化通过驱动投资规模扩张、产业结构优化及人力资本提升,从而推动要素配置与经济发展的累积性变化。基于1978-2013年中部六省数据,实证分析了城镇化驱动经济发展的动力学特征。结果显示,中部地区的城镇化进程仍处于经济发展为主导的阶段,且具体省域存在较大差异。据此,中部地区城镇化进程应采取分类发展的方式,其中湖南、湖北、安徽应采取产城融合的城镇化战略,山西应采取城镇化驱动战略,河南和江西应采取与经济发展同步协调的城镇化战略。
Urbanization is an important driving force for economic development. This paper argues that urbanization promotes the cumulative changes in the allocation of factors and economic development by driving the expansion of investment scale, optimizing the industrial structure and upgrading human capital. Based on the data of six provinces in central China from 1978 to 2013, the dynamic characteristics of urbanization-driven economy are empirically analyzed. The results show that the process of urbanization in the central region is still in the stage of economic development and there are big differences in specific provinces. Accordingly, the process of urbanization in the central region should adopt a categorized approach to development. Hunan, Hubei and Anhui should adopt the urbanization strategy of “integration of industry and cities”, and Shanxi should adopt the strategy of urbanization. Henan and Jiangxi should adopt coordinated development with economic development Urbanization Strategy.