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资源保障要安全汤亚利(中国石油天然气与管道分公司副总经理): 管道安全首先应该考虑资源安全。油气资源是管道服务的目标,是源头问题,与市场需求联系在一起的。中国石油的管道建设决策依据市场、资源来选建管道,确保按合同稳定供气20年,称“哑铃结构”。从发展上看,我国的油气资源需求急剧增长应该引起充分重视,尤其对将来存在的供需缺口要寻找对策。就天然气来说,不论是IEA还是国家发改委以及其他研究机构,都预测中国未来的天然气需求有很快增长,到2010年需求量将达1200亿立方米,2015年达1600亿立方米,到2020年达2100亿立方米。而目前中国三大石油公司的天然气商品量仅有300亿立方米(天然气生产量按75％的商品率计算),其中中国石油占主导地位,供应商品气210亿立方米。
Safety of resources to ensure safety Aaron (China National Petroleum and Pipeline Branch Deputy General Manager): Pipeline Safety First of all, resource safety should be considered. Oil and gas resources are the goal of pipeline services, the source of problems, and the needs of the market. PetroChina’s pipeline construction decision-making based on the market, resources to build the pipeline, to ensure stable supply of gas under the contract for 20 years, said “dumbbell structure.” From a development point of view, China’s rapid growth in demand for oil and gas resources should be given full attention, especially for the future supply and demand gaps to find countermeasures. For natural gas, both the IEA, the NDRC and other research institutes predict that China’s natural gas demand will soon grow rapidly. By 2010 demand will reach 120 billion cubic meters, from 160 billion cubic meters in 2015 to 2020 Up to 210 billion cubic meters. At present, the three largest oil companies in China have only 30 billion cubic meters of natural gas (the production of natural gas is calculated at 75% of the commodity rate). Among them, PetroChina is the dominant supplier of 21 billion cubic meters of commodity gas.