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本文主要从近年来深圳宏观经济发展状况、税收水平等方面利用Logistic曲线判断深圳市未来合理的税收区间,对深圳现行宏观税负水平进行合理性判断。利用柯布-道格拉斯生产函数对GDP和产业结构变化所对应的税收变动趋势进行判断。文章运用计量经济学软件EViews结合大量深圳市宏观经济发展水平数据,运用定量分析的统计方法来对深圳市的宏观税负水平进行判断并且研究GDP和产业结构变化所对应的税收变动趋势,从而得出合理结论。
This article mainly uses the Logistic curve to judge the future reasonable tax range in Shenzhen in terms of macroeconomic development and tax level in Shenzhen in recent years and makes a reasonable judgment on the current macro tax burden in Shenzhen. Use the Cobb-Douglas production function to judge the trend of tax change corresponding to the change of GDP and industrial structure. Using econometrics software EViews and a large number of macroeconomic development level data in Shenzhen, the paper uses the statistical method of quantitative analysis to judge the macro tax burden in Shenzhen and to study the tax change trend corresponding to the change of GDP and industrial structure. A reasonable conclusion.