引言 由市场和分析所作的亚洲经济未来的评估一直是 摇摆不定的。８０年代和９０年代早期，人们的情绪是乐观向上的，主要是集中在“日本是东南亚四小龙之首”以及中国在世界经济中脱颖而出。９０年代末，人们的情绪变成了悲观主义，人们预计有一个长期的地区性衰退。但是当处 Introduction The assessment of the future of Asia’s economy by markets and analysis has been volatile. In the 1980s and early 1990s, people’s mood was optimistic, mainly focusing on “Japan is the head of four small dragons in Southeast Asia” and China stands out in the world economy. In the late 1990s, people’s sentiment turned pessimistic and people expected a long-term regional recession. But when office