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2011/12年度以来欧债危机持续发酵,全球经济疲软,棉花市场持续低迷,棉花价格进入下跌通道。受国家收储政策影响,国内棉价下降幅度小于国际棉价。由于国际棉花价格跌幅大于国内,国内外棉花价差持续扩大,外棉价格优势明显,企业进口积极性较强,棉花进口同比大幅增加。受2011年下半年以来的低棉价影响,棉花种植面积减少,预测全球植棉面积和产量双双下降,国内棉花种植面积下降6.6%。
Since the 2011/12 financial crisis continued to be the European fermentation, the global economy is weak, the cotton market continued to slump, cotton prices fell channel. Affected by the government purchasing and storage policy, the decline in domestic cotton prices is less than the international cotton prices. Due to the fact that the international cotton price dropped more than that of the domestic ones, the domestic and foreign cotton spreads continued to expand. The advantages of the foreign cotton price were obvious. The import of the products was strong and the import of cotton increased greatly year-on-year. Affected by the low cotton price since the second half of 2011, the cotton acreage decreased. It is predicted that the global cotton planting area and output will both drop, and the domestic cotton acreage will drop by 6.6%.