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20世纪中叶经济学家Rain Pulevision第一次使用“核心——边缘”的概念来描述当时国际间发达国家与发展中国家发展极其不均衡问题,从此贸易自由度导致的非均衡问题成为了一个重要的研究课题。我国国内经济的发展同样面临开放经济条下的非均衡发展问题。1990年起,自经典的空间经济学诞生以来,更多的努力投入到贸易自由对经济体均衡分析上面。但是却很少有人关注打破均衡而造成的产业单向集聚对经济体的反作用问题。本文利用经典的空间经济模型和CES效用函数对工业空间分布的反作用进行深入剖析,同时考虑模型中的冰山交易,提出了与之对应的“最终有效产品”概念,最后通过Granger因果性检验,以江苏省为例进行验证,此研究对政府关于调整企业布局的政策具有一定指导意义。
For the first time, Rain Pulevision, an economist in the mid-20th century, used the concept of “core-periphery” to describe the extremely unbalanced development between developed and developing countries in the world at that time. Since then, the imbalance caused by trade liberalization has become An important research topic. The development of China’s domestic economy also faces the problem of unbalanced development under the conditions of an open economy. Since 1990, since the birth of classical space economics, more efforts have been devoted to balancing trade liberalization with economies. However, few people pay attention to the problem of reaction to the economy caused by unidirectional industrial agglomeration caused by breaking the equilibrium. In this paper, the classical spatial economic model and CES utility function are used to analyze the counteraction of industrial spatial distribution. At the same time, considering the iceberg transaction in the model, a corresponding “final effective product” concept is proposed. Finally, the Granger causality test , Taking Jiangsu Province as an example for verification. This study has some guiding significance for the government’s policy on adjusting the layout of enterprises.