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随着中国经济的迅猛发展和快速融入全球市场,东南亚资源丰裕国家正在不断丧失其在劳动密集型制造业上的比较优势,同时其资源开发变得更为有利可图。对这些东南亚国家,尤其是一些最为贫穷同时却又正处于减少中央对资源控制管理的分权过程中的国家而言,这一趋势如何影响长期增长和福利?正如“自然资源诅咒”所预言一样,快速的资源采伐和减速的工业发展可能会使这些国家进入慢速经济增长时期。
With the rapid development of China’s economy and its rapid integration into the global market, the resource-rich countries in Southeast Asia are losing their comparative advantage in labor-intensive manufacturing and their resource development has become more profitable. How will this trend affect long-term growth and welfare for these Southeast Asian countries, especially those most impoverished while in the process of reducing the central authority’s decentralization of resource management and management? As the Natural Resources Curse predicts , Rapid industrial development of resource harvesting and decelerating may put these countries into a period of slow economic growth.