车辙一直是沥青路面的主要病害,通过建立车辙预测模型进行相关研究。目前车辙预测模型种类繁多,各种方法计算结论、适用条件差异较大。为了在实际工程中,准确的选择车辙预测模型,现对车辙成因、影响因素及预测模型进行了系统的分类与评价,对预测模型进行了敏感性分析,为沥青路面的设计提供了参考。 Rutting has been the main disease of asphalt pavement, through the establishment of the rut prediction model for related research. At present, there are a great variety of prediction models for rutting. Various methods are used to calculate the conclusion and the applicable conditions are quite different. In order to accurately select the rutting prediction model in actual project, we systematically classify and evaluate the rutting causes, influencing factors and prediction models, and conduct the sensitivity analysis on the prediction model, which provides a reference for the design of asphalt pavement.