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国内玉米需求明显增加 对于中国玉米来说,前两个年度先后 出现了“非典”和“禽流感”疫情,较大地 影响了行业的发展和玉米的消费。04/05 年度应该进入一个相对正常的时期,玉米 下游行业这两年的发展会更正常些,玉米 消费数量增加的会更快。尽管如此,饲料 行业近三年对玉米的需求仍然以每年 200万吨以上的速度增加。04/05年度也 不会低于这个数字,因此饲料消费数量预 计在10000吨左右。玉米深加工行业的 发展近年来有目共睹,04/05年度行业产 能明显增大,消费预计至少与上年持平。 其它消费当中,种子与损耗消费每个年度 的变化都不大,玉米口粮消费的减少速度 也是缓慢的。各项加起来,预计04/05年
Significant increase in domestic demand for maize For China’s maize, the outbreak of “SARS” and “bird flu” successively occurred in the past two years has greatly affected the development of the industry and the consumption of corn. The year 2004/05 should enter a relatively normal period. The development of maize downstream industries will be more normal in these two years and the number of maize consumption will increase faster. In spite of this, the demand for maize in the feed industry in the recent three years is still increasing at an annual rate of over 2 million tons. 04/05 will not be lower than this figure, so feed consumption is estimated at around 10,000 tons. The development of corn deep-processing industry is obvious to all people in recent years. The industry output in 04/05 increased significantly, and consumption is expected to be at least unchanged from the previous year. Among other consumption, the changes in consumption of seeds and loss each year are not large, and the reduction of consumption of corn rations is also slow. Add up, is expected to 04/05