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利用玉山镇2004~2013年的财政收入做为样本数据,建立了一个以GDP为外生变量的自回归模型。通过对模型的检验,证明此模型是预测财政收入的一种较为有效的工具。
Using the fiscal revenue of Yushan Town from 2004 to 2013 as the sample data, an autoregressive model with GDP as the exogenous variable was established. Through the test of the model, this model is proved to be a more effective tool to forecast the fiscal revenue.