论文部分内容阅读
实施可持续发展战略,落实科学发展观,正确地评价经济增长状况至关重要;而环境与经济综合核算(绿色GDP核算)就是最主要的评价经济增长真实状况的手段之一。然而,目前的绿色GDP核算方式是不完整的、静态的、事后核算和分项计算的,对转变经济增长方式的指导意义有限。为此,文章首次提出了系统动力学绿色GDP核算方法,利用人口、资本、生态环境和经济核算4大子模块,将复杂的绿色GDP核算内容,统一在一个动态的、预测型的、具有反馈特征的模型之中;为经济增长方式的调整提供了充分的信息和调节手段。模型可以作为一个核算和政策模拟平台,通过不断调整、完善而长期使用。
It is very important to implement the strategy of sustainable development, implement the scientific concept of development and correctly evaluate the economic growth. The comprehensive accounting of the environment and economy (green GDP accounting) is one of the most important means to evaluate the real situation of economic growth. However, the current accounting methods for green GDP are incomplete, static, ex post accounting and subtotal computing, and their guiding significance for transforming economic growth mode is limited. To this end, the article first proposed the system dynamics of green GDP accounting method, the use of population, capital, ecological environment and economic accounting four sub-modules, the complex green GDP accounting content, unified in a dynamic, predictive, with feedback Characteristics of the model; for the adjustment of economic growth has provided adequate information and regulatory instruments. Model can be used as a accounting and policy simulation platform, through continuous adjustment, improvement and long-term use.