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经济持续低迷、低通胀,美联储的宽松货币政策勾画出了2014年世界经济的发展轮廓。几项利好短期增长的因素已经显现,尽管将要实施新一轮刺激政策,但长期发展中的某些问题并未能解决。在财政和货币政策之间寻求平衡将是降低未来经济发展不确定性的关键,同时也能为提升经济、获得可持续发展带来希望。我们预测2014年全球经济增长3.5%,高于2013年的3%,大多数经济体将会取得高于2013年的增长率。2014年中国经济仍将平稳增长,有望保持世界最强劲的增长率之一。本刊组织编译了富国证券新近推出的这一研究报告,供广大读者研究和参考。
Economic downturn, low inflation, the Fed's loose monetary policy outlined the outline of the development of the world economy in 2014. Several favorable short-term growth factors have emerged. Although a new round of stimulus policies will be implemented, some problems in the long-term development will not be solved. Finding a balance between fiscal and monetary policies will be the key to reducing the uncertainty of future economic development and at the same time bringing hope for economic growth and sustainable development. We forecast global economic growth of 3.5% in 2014, up from 3% in 2013, and most economies will have higher growth rates than 2013. In 2014, China's economy will maintain its steady growth and is expected to maintain one of the strongest growth rates in the world. The organization compiled the recent study published by Wells Fargo Research, for the majority of readers research and reference.