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后发国家的优势之一,是可以有比较地设计其政治、经济、社会发展的路径,避免历史上民族国家建设过程中的若干问题。然而在现实政治过程中,这种设计往往需要和社会基础、执政环境及转型所需成本联系起来,并受其约束——这些内容即构成政治重心,决定一国政治发展的走向。本文认为,主导中国近现代政治发展逻辑的政治重心,可概括为稳定与繁荣,即以政治稳定和经济发展为保障,供给合法性、体制与秩序,从而主导转型过程。
One of the advantages of latecomer countries is that they can design a comparatively political, economic and social development path and avoid some problems in the historical process of building nation-state. However, in the real political process, this design often needs to be linked with and constrained by the social basis, the governing environment and the costs of transition - these constitute the political center of gravity and determine the direction in which a country develops its politics. This paper argues that the political center of gravity that dominates the logic of the political development of modern and contemporary China can be summarized as stability and prosperity, that is, political stability and economic development as the guarantee, supply of legitimacy, system and order, and thus lead the transformation process.