在总结国内外研究人员关于煤与瓦斯突出灾害发生机理基础上,论述了煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测方法的优缺点,重点对地质因素预测煤与瓦斯突出灾害危险性的合理性进行了分析。结果表明:为了使煤与瓦斯突出灾害预防措施更加有效,需深入研究煤与瓦斯突出与地质因素的关系,以地质因素定量化为手段,对煤与瓦斯突出灾害的危险性进行预测。 On the basis of summarizing domestic and foreign researchers on the mechanism of coal and gas outburst disasters, the advantages and disadvantages of the predicting methods of coal and gas outburst hazards are discussed. The reasonableness of geological factors in predicting the danger of coal and gas outburst disasters is analyzed. The results show that in order to make the coal and gas outburst prevention measures more effective, the relationship between coal and gas outburst and geological factors needs to be studied in depth, and the risk of coal and gas outburst disasters is predicted by quantifying the geological factors.