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为在应急预案评估中,能充分考虑预案实施人员的诉求,并有效表征预案评估人员给出评价时的犹豫性,建立基于质量功能展开(QFD)与可能性分布-犹豫模糊语言术语集(PD-HFLTS)的预案评估模型。首先,由预案实施人员给出需求信息,借助预案需求项与内容项的关联信息,确定内容项基本重要度;然后,依据预案内容制定或改进的困难程度修正内容项重要度,确定内容项综合重要度,据之判定预案的关键内容与不足之处。以某铁路局防洪应急预案为对象的案例分析结果表明,该模型具有较强的可行性与可操作性;现有预案存在重应急响应、轻应急准备的问题。
In order to assess the contingency plans, we can fully consider the demands of plan implementers and effectively represent the hesitancy of plan planners when evaluating them. Based on QFD and Possibility Distribution - Hedging Fuzzy Linguistic Terminology (PD -HFLTS) plan evaluation model. Firstly, the information of the demand is given by the plan implementer and the basic importance of the content is determined according to the related information of the plan demand and the content. Then, the importance of the content is corrected according to the difficulty of making or improving the plan, Importance, according to determine the key content of the plan and inadequacies. The case analysis of flood control contingency plan of a railway bureau shows that the model has strong feasibility and maneuverability. The existing plan has the problems of heavy emergency response and light emergency preparedness.