论文部分内容阅读
石油消费是能源消费的重要组成部分。为全面分析我国石油消费量变化情况及其影响因素,本文利用LMDI指数分解法将影响石油消费增长的因素分解为化石能耗结构效应、非清洁能耗效应、能源强度效应和经济规模效应四个部分。分解结果表明,经济规模效应是造成我国石油消费增长的主要原因;除个别年份或省区外,我国能源强度逐年降低,清洁能源消费比例稳步增长,能源结构逐步改善,我国石油供需矛盾趋于缓和。
Oil consumption is an important part of energy consumption. In order to comprehensively analyze the change of oil consumption in our country and its influencing factors, this paper uses the LMDI index decomposition method to decompose the factors that affect the growth of petroleum consumption into structural effects of fossil energy consumption, non-clean energy consumption, energy intensity and economic scale section. The decomposition results show that the economic scale effect is the main reason for the increase of oil consumption in our country. Except for some years or provinces, the energy intensity of our country decreases year by year, the proportion of clean energy consumption increases steadily, the energy structure gradually improves, and the contradiction between supply and demand of oil in our country tends to ease .