论文部分内容阅读
美国经济经历短暂的衰退后,不少证据显示正迈向复苏。不过,在一片看好声中,也不是没有一丝忧虑。美国《财富》杂志在最新一期的封面故事《顽强的经济》中指出美国经济的十大隐忧,提醒人们在乐观气氛中警惕美国经济出错。(1)中东局势动荡中东局势是美国经济最大的不明朗因素,可能出现的最坏情况,是阿拉伯世界与以色列爆发全面战争,这必定导致石油禁运。除中东问题外,阿富汗及巴基斯坦的局势仍然动荡,而阿根廷的经济危机也可能蔓延至邻近国家。有一点可以肯定的是,美国人的消费及投资信心很大程度上视国外的形势而定。
After the U.S. economy experienced a brief recession, a lot of evidence shows that it is heading for recovery. However, in a good voice, it is not without any worries. In the latest issue of the cover story, “Tenacious Economy,” Fortune magazine pointed out ten major worries in the U.S. economy and reminded people in an optimistic atmosphere that they should be wary of making mistakes in the U.S. economy. (1) The turmoil in the Middle East The situation in the Middle East is the biggest uncertainty of the U.S. economy. The worst possible scenario is the all-out war between the Arab world and Israel, which will inevitably lead to an oil embargo. Apart from the Middle East issue, the situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan is still turbulent. Argentina’s economic crisis may also spread to its neighboring countries. What is certain is that the consumer confidence in the United States depends very much on the situation in other countries.