随着中国的崛起,中国和世界上唯一的超级大国美国之间的国力差距在缩小。不少观察家担心,武装冲突将随之发生。在近代历史上,出现过七次大国崛起,挑战现存强国,其中六次都导致了冲突。但是,本文指出,有理由相信,中国的崛起将是和平的。 With the rise of China, the gap in the national strength between China and the United States, the only superpower in the world, is narrowing. Many observers fear that armed conflicts will follow. In modern history, there have been seven great power rises and challenges to the existing powerful powers. Six of them have led to conflicts. However, this article points out that there are reasons to believe that the rise of China will be peaceful.