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根据凯恩斯学派的“需求管理”政策。财政支出的规模对社会总需求以及总需求和总供给的平衡起着重要调节作用。当社会总需求明显超过总供给,通货膨胀压力过大时,政府可以采取减少政府支出政策,减少需求;当社会总供给大于总需求,经济资源不能充分利用时,政府可以通过扩大政府购买支出政策,增加消费需求。所以说,财政支出和国民经济景气指标间有着紧密的联系。下面根据时间序列动态均衡关系分析方法,对我国财政支出和经济景气指标关系做实证研究分析。
According to Keynesian “demand management” policy. The scale of fiscal expenditure plays an important regulatory role in the total social demand and the balance between aggregate demand and aggregate supply. When the total social demand significantly exceeds the total supply and the inflationary pressure is too great, the government can adopt the policy of reducing the government expenditure and reduce the demand. When the total social supply exceeds the total demand and the economic resources can not make full use of it, the government can expand the government’s purchasing expenditure policy , Increase consumer demand. Therefore, there is a close relationship between fiscal expenditure and the indicators of the national economy. According to the time series of dynamic equilibrium relationship analysis method, the empirical analysis of the relationship between China’s financial expenditure and economic sentiment indicators.