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贫困人口的可减贫性是建立精准扶贫激励性规制的基石,但政策对这个重要问题重视不够。利用612户农户调研数据,建立农户生产函数模型,运用分位数回归方法估计的结果显示,不同收入分位数农户的要素边际收益、边际替代率具有显著差异,且随着收入水平呈现上升趋势,揭示了不同收入农户在生产活动中对获取扶贫资源的经济激励差异。进一步根据估计的农户收入回归方程,估算了贫困农户达到脱贫目标所需的扶贫资源数量,结果表明贫困人口收入越低脱贫成本越高。最后,运用博弈模型分析了甘肃省两当县实施精准扶贫的成功案例,提出了通过建立贫困户与非贫户互助组等措施完善精准扶贫激励系统的规制设计思路与对策。
The poverty reduction of the poor is the cornerstone of the establishment of a precise anti-poverty incentive regulation, but the policy does not pay enough attention to this important issue. Based on the survey data of 612 households, the production function model of farmer households was established. The results of quantile regression analysis showed that the marginal revenue and the marginal rate of substitution of farmer households with different quantile of income were significantly different and increased with the level of income , Reveals the differences in economic incentives for different income peasants to obtain pro-poor resources in their production activities. Based on the estimated regression equation of farmer’s income, we estimated the number of poverty alleviation resources needed by poor farmers to achieve the goal of getting rid of poverty. The result shows that the lower the income of poor people, the higher the cost of eliminating poverty. Finally, this paper analyzes the successful cases of implementing accurate poverty alleviation in Liangdang County, Gansu Province by using the game model and puts forward the ideas and countermeasures for improving the regulation and design of the precise poverty alleviation and incentive system through the establishment of poor households and non-poor mutual aid groups.