尽管美元走强往往是新兴国家出现动荡的预兆,但本文的分析认为,现在亚洲新兴市场国家大多数已没有主权债务风险,相较于土耳其、南非、南美、俄罗斯,新兴亚洲明显安全许多。从拉美危机和亚洲金融危机,美元走强往往是新兴国家出现动荡的预兆,但现在亚洲新兴国家大多数已没有主权债务风险,相较于土耳其、南非、南美、俄罗斯,新兴亚洲明显安全许多。 Although the strength of the U.S. dollar is often a sign of turmoil in emerging countries, the analysis in this paper argues that most Asian emerging market countries now have no sovereign debt risk and are clearly much safer than Turkey, South Africa, South America, Russia and emerging Asia. From the Latin American crisis and the Asian financial crisis, the strength of the U.S. dollar is often the precursor to turmoil in emerging countries. However, most emerging Asian countries nowadays have no sovereign debt risk and are significantly more secure than Turkey, South Africa, South America, Russia and emerging Asia.