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2013年上半年,我国宏观经济运行存在五大特征:经济回落具有非常强的非预期性;产能过剩矛盾进一步激化;房地产问题;实体经济与虚拟经济相脱节;经济中的矛盾与不确定性逐步加大。五大特征会给宏观经济运行带来五大风险。首先,地方政府投融资平台风险。从2018年到2019年,地方政府的融资平台将进入偿债高峰,存在较高的债务风险。其次,影子银行问题。现阶段,影子银行缺乏监管,
In the first half of 2013, there were five major characteristics of China’s macroeconomic operation: the economic downturn had a very strong non-expectancy; the contradiction between overcapacity intensified further; the real estate problem was exacerbated; the real economy was out of step with the fictitious economy; and the contradictions and uncertainties in the economy gradually increased Big. Five characteristics will bring five major risks to macroeconomic operations. First, the local government investment and financing platform risk. From 2018 to 2019, the local government’s financing platform will enter the peak of debt repayment with high debt risk. Second, shadow banking issues. At this stage, the shadow banking lack of supervision,