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钢材是国民经济发展的重要组成部分之一。分析钢材价格变动的原因,及时减小变化幅度,有助于国民经济的稳定发展。本文选取2009年1月至2015年12月的月度数据,利用多元线性回归模型进行实证检验,得出钢材价格波动的主要影响因素是国际钢市价格指数CRU、规模以上工业增加值IVA和固定资产投资额FAI。最后,本文针对结论提出了稳定钢材价格的政策建议。
Steel is one of the important components of the national economy. Analysis of the reasons for the price changes of steel products, promptly reduce the rate of change, contribute to the steady development of the national economy. This paper selects monthly data from January 2009 to December 2015 and conducts empirical tests using multivariate linear regression models. The main factors that influence the price volatility of steel are the international steel market price index (CRU), the above-scale industrial added value (IVA) and fixed assets Investment FAI. Finally, this paper puts forward policy recommendations for the stabilization of steel prices.