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地震经济损失评估是地震风险分析研究的重要组成部分,也是政府制定地震风险防范管理措施的基础和依据,因此如何准确评估地震造成的经济损失,具有重要的理论和现实意义。文章回顾了国内外地震经济损失评估研究的发展进程,对地震造成的直接经济损失、间接经济损失的评估方法进行了概括和总结,并通过分析指出运用模型评估时存在的困难和以待解决的问题。从总体上来看,国内外对于地震直接经济损失的研究均已形成了较为稳定的、系统的评估方法,但仍然存在无法整合社会经济这一整体进行评估的不足;而在间接经济损失评估时由于涉及领域广泛、受影响时间较长、各经济体间联系复杂等原因,很难得出较为精准的结果,因而其评估方法也仍然处于探索和研究之中。文章最后展望了今后地震经济损失评估研究的发展方向。
The evaluation of earthquake economic loss is an important part of earthquake risk analysis and also the basis and basis for the government to formulate the management measures for earthquake risk prevention. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to assess accurately the economic losses caused by earthquakes. This paper reviews the development of seismic economic loss assessment at home and abroad, summarizes and summarizes the direct economic losses and indirect economic losses caused by earthquakes, and points out the difficulties in applying the model assessment and the problems to be solved problem. Generally speaking, both domestic and overseas researches on direct economic losses have formed a relatively stable and systematic assessment method, but there are still some shortcomings of the failure to integrate the social economy as a whole. In the case of indirect economic loss assessment, Involving a wide range of areas, a long period of time being affected and complex connections among economies, it is difficult to draw a relatively accurate result. Therefore, the assessment methods are still under exploration and research. Finally, the article forecasts the future development of earthquake economic loss assessment.