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目的:观察单纯创伤性脑实质挫伤及血肿(TIPHs)患者发生进展的自然进程,并分析影响其进展的危险因素。方法:采用前瞻性研究的方法,选取南方医科大学附属小榄医院2018年7月至2020年1月TIPHs患者69例,记录患者的性别、年龄、受伤原因、复合伤情况、格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS),于入院时检测血浆凝血酶原时间(PT)、活化部分凝血活酶时间(APTT)、凝血酶时间(TT)、纤维蛋白原(Fbg)、国际化标准值(INR)、D-二聚体、血小板、血红蛋白,观察低氧血症和高颅内压发生情况。记录首次CT检查时间、首次CT血肿体积、对照CT检查时间、对照CT血肿体积,及首次CT检查的病灶形态、多发灶、蛛网膜下隙出血(SAH)、水肿带、皮质距离,分析影响TIPHs患者发生进展的危险因素。结果:69例TIPHs中,28例发生TIPHs进展(进展组),进展率为40.58%;未发生血肿进展41例(未进展组)。两组性别构成、年龄、PT、APTT、INR、血红蛋白、受伤原因、合并伤、低氧血症发生率、高颅内压发生率、SAH发生率、水肿带发生率、病灶不规则率、首次CT检查时间、对照CT检查时间、首次CT血肿体积比较差异无统计学意义(n P>0.05)。进展组GCS、皮质距离、Fbg明显低于非进展组,TT、血小板、多发灶率、对照CT血肿体积明显高于非进展组,差异有统计学意义(n P<0.01或<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,皮质距离<1 cm、Fbg<2 g/L和多发灶是影响TIPHs患者发生进展的独立危险因素(n OR = 6.723、5.515、4.827,n P0.05). The GCS, cortical distance and Fbg in progression group were significantly lower than those in non-progression group, the TT, platelet, multifocality rate and volume of the control CT hematoma were significantly higher than those in non-progression group, and there were statistical differences (n P<0.01 or <0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that cortical distance <1 cm, Fbg<2 g/L and multifocality were independent risk factors affecting the progression in patients with TIPHs (n OR = 6.723, 5.515 and 4.827; n P<0.05). The model had a sensitivity of 71.43% (20/28), a specificity of 92.68% (38/41), and an accuracy of 84.06% (58/69) in judging the progression of TIPHs.n Conclusions:Based on the risk factors for the progression of TIPHs, predicting these patients in advance can provide necessary intervention measures for high-risk patients, which will help to reduce the rate of progression and improve the prognosis of patients.