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2015年以来,我国居民消费价格温和上涨,工业生产者价格持续下降,生产领域通缩态势明显。1-5月,CPI同比上涨1.3%,PPI同比下降4.6%。未来一段时期,总需求稳中趋缓、通胀预期减弱、产能过剩严重和国际大宗商品价格低位运行等因素将抑制物价涨幅,但猪肉价格上涨、资源价格改革、劳动力成本上升、蔬菜价格的大年特征将支撑物价涨幅。初步预计,下半年CPI同比上涨1.7%,全年上涨1.5%,下半年PPI下降3.6%,全年下降4.1%。今年后期物价调控的重点是加快推进价格改革、保证主要农产品稳定供给、利用加快杠杆淘汰落后产能、保持房地产价格基本稳定,为提质增效创造良好的价格和市场环境。
Since 2015, the consumer prices in China have risen modestly, the prices of industrial producers have been declining, and the deflationary trend in the production area has been marked. January-May, CPI rose 1.3%, PPI fell 4.6%. In the coming period, aggregate demand will slow down steadily, inflation expectation will be weakened, serious overcapacity and running low international commodity prices will curb price increases. However, pork prices, resource price reform, rising labor costs and big vegetable prices Features will support price increases. Preliminary estimates, the second half of the CPI rose 1.7%, up 1.5% throughout the year, the second half fell 3.6% PPI, down 4.1% for the full year. The focus of price control in the latter part of this year is to speed up the price reform, ensure the stable supply of major agricultural products, accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity by leverage, keep the real estate prices basically stable, and create a favorable price and market environment for the improvement of quality and efficiency.