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中澳正在进行的关于建立自由贸易区的磋商引起了各方的关注。初级产品存在较强的互补性已成为共识,但双方在制成品上的贸易强度、互补程度等各个方面需要作一个全面的分析。本文在国际贸易标准分类的基础上,利用贸易强度指数、互补性指数、产业内贸易指数对双方的制成品进行了较全面的分析。结果显示:双方制成品贸易较密切,存在相当大程度的互补性,自由贸易区建立后有一定的发展空间。不过,双方的产业内贸易还需进一步提升合作层次。
The ongoing consultation between China and Australia on the establishment of a free trade area has drawn the attention of all parties. It has become a consensus that there is strong complementariness of primary products. However, both sides need to make a comprehensive analysis in various aspects such as trade intensity and degree of complementarity in finished products. Based on the classification of international trade standards, this article uses the trade intensity index, the complementarity index and the intra-industry trade index to make a comprehensive analysis of the finished products of both sides. The results show that the bilateral trade in manufactures is relatively close and there is a considerable degree of complementarity. After the establishment of the free trade zone, there is a certain space for development. However, the intra-industry trade between the two parties needs to further enhance the level of cooperation.