论文部分内容阅读
本文通过理论分析得出产业转移、人力资本和中部经济增长的假定假设,利用安徽省1990-2006年的时序数据和基于向量自回归的多元协整方法,对每个假设进行了实证研究。实证分析结果表明:一个地区的人力资本水平对地区的经济增长具有促进作用,而且不同程度的人力资本的影响是不同的;在存在技术进步的情况下,产业转移对转入地经济增长率的贡献取决与人力资本的积累;但是与理论分析不同的是,初中文化程度的人力资本对经济增长的贡献要大于高中和大学程度人力资本的贡献。
Through theoretical analysis, this paper draws the hypotheses of industrial transfer, human capital and economic growth in central China. Empirical research is conducted on each hypothesis by using the time series data of Anhui province from 1990 to 2006 and the multiple cointegration method based on vector autoregression. The result of empirical analysis shows that the level of human capital in one region has a positive effect on the economic growth in the region and the impact of different levels of human capital is different. In the case of technological progress, the ratio of industrial transfer to the rate of economic growth Contribution depends on the accumulation of human capital; but different from theoretical analysis, human capital with junior middle school education contributes more to economic growth than human capital in high school and university.