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分析人士近日表示,当前甚至未来很长一段时间内,全球石化行业最亮眼的两大因素将是美国的页岩气和中国的煤炭。美国正在大量建设页岩气为原料的石化出口项目;而全球主要的石化产品进口国——中国,正通过廉价的煤炭为原料生产烯烃来提高石化产能,实现石化产品自给自足的目标。中美两国各自利用具有竞争优势的原料,大力发展相关石化产能,并将正面交锋,还可能重构未来石化生产和贸易流的格局。
Analysts recently said that for the long term, at present or even in the future, the two most dazzling elements of the global petrochemical industry will be shale gas in the United States and coal in China. The United States is building a large-scale petrochemical export project using shale gas as its raw material. China, the world’s leading importer of petrochemical products, is using low-cost coal as raw material to produce olefins to increase petrochemical capacity and achieve self-sufficiency in petrochemical products. China and the United States each use competitive raw materials to vigorously develop relevant petrochemical capacity and will face confrontation. It may also restructure the pattern of future petrochemical production and trade flows.