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中国消费率多年来持续下降,长期过低的消费率导致过高的储蓄和投资率,不利于社会的稳定,更不利于经济的增长。在影响消费率的各因素中,居民可支配收入水平、税收负担的轻重、物价指数甚至区域产业结构等都直接或者间接地影响到消费支出规模及支出结构。本文通过对照分析面板数据固定效应和分位数回归,深入研究了相关因素对消费率的影响效力及各参数的显著性,进而为提高消费率提出了针对性的建议。
The rate of consumption in China has been declining over the years. The long-term low rate of consumption leads to excessive savings and investment rates, which are detrimental to social stability and unfavorable to economic growth. Among the factors that influence the consumption rate, the disposable income level, the tax burden, the price index and even the regional industrial structure all directly or indirectly affect the scale of consumption expenditure and the expenditure structure. In this paper, by analyzing the fixed-effects and quantile regression of panel data, we study the effect of relevant factors on the consumption rate and the significance of each parameter, and put forward some suggestions to improve the consumption rate.