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基于1986~2012年省际统计资料,文章首先分析了基于区位熵指数的中国IFDI空间集聚程度及演变态势,然后利用面板固定效应模型和IV-2SLS模型考察了IFDI空间格局的影响因素并进行比较研究;在此基础上构造“三维驱动”理论框架模型,并对其进行了定量研究。研究发现:第一,东部沿海地区的IFDI空间集聚程度普遍高于内陆地区,且随着时间的推移这种空间的非均衡性呈现某种“固化”态势;第二,市场规模、经济发展水平、市场开放程度、基础设施和人力资本对IFDI的省际集聚产生不同程度的促进作用,而能源供应和技术授权则抑制了IFDI的省际集聚;第三,在“三维驱动”中,市场驱动维度对地区吸引IFDI的空间集聚效果最为明显,其次为技术驱动和战略驱动维度,随着时间的变化,各地区“三维驱动”发展趋于平稳。
Based on the provincial statistical data from 1986 to 2012, the paper first analyzes the spatial aggregation degree and evolutionary trend of China’s IFDI based on the location entropy index, and then uses the panel fixed effect model and the IV-2SLS model to examine and compare the influencing factors of IFDI spatial pattern On the basis of this, we construct a theoretical framework model of “3D Drive” and conduct a quantitative research. The findings are as follows: First, the spatial concentration of IFDI in the eastern coastal areas is generally higher than that in the inland areas, and the spatial heterogeneity shows some “solidification” over time. Second, the market size, The level of economic development, market openness, infrastructures and human capital can promote the inter-provincial aggregation of IFDI to varying degrees, while the energy supply and technology authorization restrain the inter-provincial agglomeration of IFDI. Third, “, The market-driven dimension has the most obvious spatial attraction to IFDI in the region, followed by the technology-driven and strategic-driven dimensions. With the change of time, the development of the” three-dimensional drive "in various regions tends to be stable.