世界经济增长放缓对中国贸易收支造成了一定程度的压力。本文对中国贸易1981-2000年的多边和双边价格弹性和收入弹性进行了分析,发现国民收入因素对于贸易收支的影响是显著的。我们认为,改善中国贸易收支的途径是降低出口商品特别是对美国出口商品的成本,并对进口的奢侈品尽快实施进口替代。 The slowdown in world economic growth has exerted some pressure on China’s trade balance. This paper analyzes the multilateral and bilateral price elasticity and income elasticity of China’s trade from 1981 to 2000 and finds that the impact of national income on trade balance is significant. We think the way to improve China’s trade balance is to reduce the cost of exports, especially those exported to the United States, and to import imported luxury goods as quickly as possible.