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目的:研究海南省公共卫生支出与经济增长的相互关系,为政府关于公共卫生支出政策的制定提供依据。方法:基于1997—2014年海南省相关数据为基础,采用协整检验、Granger因果检验及误差修正模型分析探讨两者之间的关系。结果:公共卫生支出和经济增长具有协整关系,公共卫生支出和经济增长存在短期的修正力度为-0.405 504,公共卫生支出是经济增长的Granger原因。结论:海南省公共卫生支出与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡短期波动的关系,公共卫生支出可促进经济增长,但经济增长对公共卫生支出的影响不明显。政府应扩大支出规模、调整支出结构,建立公共卫生绩效评价体系,增加对农村的公共卫生支出,缩小城乡差距,促进经济增长。
Objective: To study the relationship between public health expenditure and economic growth in Hainan Province, and to provide basis for the government’s policy on public health expenditure. Methods: Based on the relevant data of Hainan Province from 1997 to 2014, the paper uses cointegration test, Granger causality test and error correction model analysis to explore the relationship between the two. Results: Public health expenditure and economic growth have a cointegration relationship. Public health expenditure and economic growth have short-term correction of -0.405504. Public health expenditure is the Granger cause of economic growth. Conclusion: There is a long-term equilibrium short-term fluctuations between public health expenditure and economic growth in Hainan Province. Public health expenditure can promote economic growth, but the impact of economic growth on public health expenditure is not obvious. The government should expand the scale of expenditure, adjust the expenditure structure, set up a public health performance evaluation system, increase public health expenditure in rural areas, narrow the gap between urban and rural areas, and promote economic growth.