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高技术产品出口能力是衡量一国或地区经济实力、科技实力和出口实力的重要指标。本文分析了我国近16年高技术产品出口额占总出口额的比重变化特征,结合我国发达省市的出口现状,拟合出该比重的Logistic增长曲线模型,得出我国高技术产品出口的发展已步入了缓慢增长期的结论,并对我国未来一段时间这一指标值进行预测及原因分析,进而提出了相应的对策建议。
The export capacity of high-tech products is an important indicator for measuring the economic strength, scientific and technological strength and export strength of a country or a region. This paper analyzes the proportion of high-tech products exports in the total exports in China in recent 16 years. Combining with the current export situation of developed provinces and cities in China, the logistic growth curve model of the proportion is fit for the development of high-tech exports in China Has entered a period of slow growth, and predicts the future value of our country for some time and the reasons for the analysis, and then put forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.