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目的研究出院病人数量分析,为现代化医院管理、资源分配提供可靠依据。方法采用直线方程预测全年出院病人数量及各大科病人出院数量。结果预测2008年出院病人数量39,003人次。结论通过预测分析可知各月出院数量波动峰值,利用峰值的高低科学、合理安排医护人员上岗、病人分流、医院资源配制、信息共享、病案管理与库房的上架。
Objective To study the number of discharged patients and provide a reliable basis for modern hospital management and resource allocation. Methods Linear equations were used to predict the number of discharged patients and the number of discharged patients in each major department. Results The number of discharged patients in 2008 is forecast to be 39,003. Conclusion Predictive analysis shows that the peak number of discharges fluctuated in each month. Based on the peak and low level of science, rational arrangement of medical staff induction, patient diversion, hospital resource allocation, information sharing, medical record management and shelving of the warehouse was made.