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我国加入WTO以后,对外开放程度不断加大,产业安全面临严峻的挑战。以往的产业安全研究多采用经济学和数学方法。文章把生态学原理应用于医药产业安全研究,借鉴生态系统健康理论构建了医药产业安全的生态评估指标体系,采用相对隶属度与专家评判标准赋值等方法对各指标进行标准量化,利用熵权修正层次分析(AHP)方法得到各指标权重,从生态角度对我国医药产业安全进行了评估与预警,得出当前我国医药产业基本安全的结论,并对我国医药产业未来安全状况和可能出现的不安全风险进行了预报。
After China’s accession to the WTO, the degree of opening to the outside world has been constantly increasing, and industrial safety is facing a serious challenge. In the past, most industrial safety studies used economics and mathematics. The article applies the principle of ecology to the study of the safety of the pharmaceutical industry, builds the ecological assessment index system of the safety of the pharmaceutical industry with the reference to the theory of ecosystem health, and uses the relative membership degree and expert judgment criteria to evaluate the indexes. The entropy weights Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is used to get weight of each index, and evaluate and early warning the safety of China’s pharmaceutical industry from the ecological point of view, and draw the conclusion of the current basic safety of the pharmaceutical industry in our country and the future safety status of the pharmaceutical industry in our country and possible unsafe The risk is forecasted.