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基于地理学中空间地域分异理论和人文地理学思想,利用西部11省份4年纵向数据,构建了基于物料平衡原则的线性增长模型,实证分析了西部11个个体农业环境行为发展的轨迹及其空间分异的预期因子。研究结果表明,最终状态和行为增长率间具有强负相关性,污染估计值较高的地区,其平均农业环境行为将以较快的2.626个单位速度减少,增长率和最终状态在西部地区间差异显著。教育程度和劳动力投入是最终状态和增长率显著负向预期因子,农业经营规模对最终状态有显著正向影响,但对增长率产生了负向影响,农业结构分别是最终状态、增长率的显著、不显著正向预期因子。这些预期因子分别解释了最终状态8.56%的方差变异和个体农业环境行为增长率61.8%的方差变异。
Based on the theory of spatial and geographical differentiation in geography and the geography of human geography, this paper constructs a linear growth model based on the principle of material balance by using 4-year longitudinal data from 11 provinces in western China and analyzes the trajectory of 11 individual environmental behaviors in the western China Expected factor of spatial differentiation. The results show that there is a strong negative correlation between the final state and the growth rate of the behavior, and the average agricultural environmental behavior will decrease at a faster rate of 2.626 units in the areas with higher pollution estimates. The growth rate and the final state are between the western region Significant difference. Educational level and labor input are the negative predictive factors of the final state and growth rate. The scale of agricultural operation has a significant positive impact on the final state, but negatively affects the growth rate. The agricultural structure is the final state, and the growth rate is significant , No significant positive expected factor. These expected factors account for a variance variance of 8.56% in the final state and 61.8% in the growth rate of individual agricultural environment, respectively.